Rico Bosco's "Bosco's Bets"
Here we go with another edition of Bosco’s Bets presented by OddsShark.com. The go-to place on the internet for odds, trends, picks advice, articles, and line movement intel. Before every wager placed- I go to OddsShark.com for my info. Get there asap as the games are about to kick off.
Headlines
-The seat in which Rex Ryan sits is becoming hotter by the minute. The Buffalo Bills axed offensive coordinator Greg Roman after their Week 2 loss and, in all honesty, he was a scapegoat. The Bills defense continues to flounder despite both Ryan brothers supposedly being defensive masterminds. With the firings already beginning, Ryan is the overwhelming favorite to be the first NFL head coach fired this season: http://www.oddsshark.com/nfl/nfl-head-coach-be-fired-betting-odds.
-Do two games in the NFL season really make that much of a difference? Does an 0-2 start doom your team with 14 games remaining to rebound? Since 2007, 75 teams have started 0-2. Only seven (9.3%) of them turned it around to make the playoffs and one of those (the 2008 Chargers) made it with an 8-8 record: http://www.oddsshark.com/nfl/stats-2-0-teams-and-0-2-teams.
-After outscoring 89 schools himself through just three weeks of play, Lamar Jackson has become the odds-on fave to win the Heisman Trophy. The Louisville quarterback has already recorded 1377 yards and 18 touchdowns, bumping his odds up to -200.http://www.oddsshark.com/ncaaf/odds-win-heisman-trophbuy
NCAA FOOTBALL TRENDS
NFL Trends
Bears at Cowboys
The total has gone OVER in the Bears’ last five games against the Cowboys.
The visiting team is 4-1 SU and ATS in its last five games in this matchup.
The Cowboys are 2-10-2 ATS in their last 14 games at home.
The Cowboys are 5-2 SU in their last seven games after winning as an underdog.
The Bears are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games on the road.
Jets at Chiefs
The Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against the Chiefs.
The visiting team is 0-5 SU in its last five games in this matchup.
The Chiefs are 11-0 SU in their last 11 games as favorite.
The total has gone OVER in six of the Chiefs’ last seven games in September.
The Jets are 5-0-2 ATS in their last seven games as underdog.
Redskins at Giants
The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Redskins’ last nine games against the Giants.
The Redskins are 2-10 SU in their last 12 games on the road against the Giants.
The total has gone OVER in six of the Giants’ last eight games at home.
The Giants are 7-0 SU in their last seven games as a favorite of 4.5 or more.
The Redskins are 4-18 SU in their last 22 games on the road.
Steelers at Eagles
The Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against the Eagles.
The Eagles are 12-5 SU in their last 17 games at home after a win at home.
The total has gone UNDER in five of the Eagles’ last six games in Week 3.
The Steelers are 1-6 SU in their last seven games after consecutive wins.
The total has gone UNDER in five of the Steelers’ last six games.
MONDAY
Falcons at Saints
The Falcons are 5-15 SU in their last 20 games against the Saints.
The total has gone OVER in the Saints’ last six games at home.
The Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against their division.
The Falcons are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games.
The Falcons are 1-8 SU in their last nine games against the NFC.
PICKS
Middle Tennessee State -5
Big disparity here with LA Tech allowing 330.5 passing yards a game. Middle Tennessee State airing the hell out of it racking up 338.5 through the air a game. As good as they are at throwing it, MTSU can defend it nearly as well, allowing the nation’s 4th fewest allowed at just 121 per game. LA Tech has a respectable pass game, but I expect they cannot match MTSU point for point and I like MTSU fairly comfortably 34-20.
Last Week: 0-1
Total Record of featured “Bosco Bets” picks : 38-20-3 YTD (doesn’t include Guest picks)
CFB YTD: 2016 CFB Season: -17.7 units
2015 +Bowls CFB and 2015-2016 CBB total: +54.65 units (+31.15 units CFB, 183-152-7 (+15.8 units CBB +7.7 units NCAA Tournament).
For all stats and trends check out OddsShark.com & follow @Rico_Bosco on twitter for all my other picks, NCAA Tournament analysis , birthday wishes to Mike Francesa, questions, all things floral hats, admiration of D’Jais, and overall entertainment.